What Changes Do You Foresee Neurosurgery in 2050

    0
    618

    The AANS Neurosurgeon asked AANS members to consider the future of neurosurgery and how it might have changed by 2050.

    When asked to choose the area of greatest anticipated clinical change, a slight majority (27 percent) of respondents selected stereotactic and functional neurosurgery over tumor (24 percent). Other responses included spine and peripheral nerves (17 percent), neuroendovascular (12 percent), cerebrovascular and neurotrauma/critical care (each at 8 percent), and pediatric (1 percent). Of the 2 percent selecting “other,” one respondent suggested neuroaugmentation as the area of greatest clinical change.

    o

    When asked to choose the area of greatest anticipated socioeconomic change, more than half of respondents selected reimbursement. Other responses included practice type (21 percent), workforce composition (16 percent), and training (11 percent).

    A total of 88 percent of respondents foresaw a greater role for physician extenders in neurosurgery compared with 12 percent who did not.

    Prognostications

    Random Sample, a regular feature of the AANS Neurosurgeon, engages AANS members to assess their views and practices related to a topic of current interest.
    Participants were invited to foresee developments in neurosurgery over the next 40 years, and 30 percent shared their views. Respondents ranged from sanguine to pessimistic in their views of anticipated changes in neurosurgery. Topics included economic pressures and how they will play out, the impact of technology, the allocation of resources, and training. Some of the signed responses follow.

    Our biggest challenge is to continue to attract bright, motivated and earnest applicants in neurosurgery while offering the quality-of-life expectations (family time, wage expectations) that the next generation demands. The second challenge is confronting the regulatory and financial constraints imposed by government and private insurers. It is a fantastic profession full of some of the most innovative and brilliant minds. I am confident we can meet these challenges.
    -J. Nozipo Maraire, MD, Klamath Falls, Ore.

    Neurosurgery without economic protection will continue to be diluted by extraspecialty competition and central reimbursement compression. Until existing neurosurgical societies recognize the responsibility to represent the economic survival of the specialty, we will be relegated to the road to serfdom. Ask yourself, should the neurosurgical specialty be seen as eloquent esoteric philosophers, servile, submissive and spineless? I fear the road we are on foretells our destination.
    -Mark E. Anderson, MD, Irvine, Calif.

    For the last 30 years neurotrauma has progressed a lot but our understanding of basic pathophysiology of head injury still is in its infancy. The challenging job of the new generation of neurosurgeons is to find out how we can set back the cascades of events and improve the outcome of head injury. This progress has already started and it’s getting more advanced every minute. Head injury has been the greatest challenge for neurosurgeons from prehistoric times until now.
    -Kambiz Kamian, MD, FRCS(C), Ancaster, Canada

    The term “physician extender” implies the hard-earned title of “physician” and can be misleading when used to describe nonphysicians. Nuances of best neurosurgical practice ranging across all aspects of patient evaluation and management are gained from rigorous application and experience unique to neurological surgeons; for that reason the best practice of neurological surgery does not conform well with a physician-extender paradigm.
    -Timothy M. Wiebe, MD, Hattiesburg, Miss.

    Methodology and Demographics
    Randomly selected AANS members with e-mail addresses were asked in April 2009 to participate in this online survey. Invitations were sent by e-mail to 300 individuals, and 84 members participated in the survey for a response rate of 28 percent. Most respondents were neurosurgeons or residents (98 percent), while 2 percent were non-MD neuroscience professionals such as nurse practitioners or physician assistants.

    A majority of respondents were affiliated with a private practice (35 percent) followed by those in full-time academic practice (23 percent), those in private practice with academic affiliation or appointment (18 percent), hospital employees (13 percent), other (11 percent), and federal government employees (1 percent). Survey participation was distributed among the age groups: Most were between the ages of 56 and 65 (32 percent), followed by those between 46 and 55 (29 percent), 35 and 45 (20 percent), 34 and younger (11 percent), and 66 and older (8 percent).

    ]]>

    Print Friendly, PDF & Email
    o